## A Consolidation Competition

The words “Multi 21” gained notoriety in the realm of Formula One back in 2013. During that year’s Malaysian Grand Prix, Sebastian Vettel, a driver for Red Bull Racing and already a three-time world champion, disregarded a direct order from his team – “Multi 21” – which instructed him to allow teammate, Mark Webber, to secure victory. Vettel instead passed Webber, claiming the win for himself but igniting anger from both Webber and the Red Bull team. This event, while contentious, underscored the significance of collaboration and teamwork, even among intense competitors, in attaining triumph. For Red Bull, the solidarity of their drivers was paramount, even above personal accolades.

Shifting to the present day, “Multi 21” could aptly characterize the trajectory of the UK betting sector. The worldwide tendency towards consolidation has arrived on British soil, with Ladbrokes Coral and Paddy Power Betfair intending to merge. This proposed amalgamation prompts inquiries and speculation regarding the industry’s future and the part collaboration will play in achieving supremacy.

News of the Ladbrokes and Coral merger surfaced in July, immediately becoming the most discussed subject within the sector. Could this be a harbinger of what’s to come? Will other participants feel compelled to join forces, prioritizing collective power over individual aspirations? Much like in Formula One, the UK betting market might be moving towards a future where strategic partnerships determine the ultimate victors.

This suggested amalgamation, uniting Ladbrokes and Coral into a betting behemoth, currently awaits approval from the Competition and Markets Authority. Facilitating this union, a consortium of banks is providing a substantial £1.35 billion. Should everything proceed smoothly, the unified Ladbrokes Coral entity is forecasted to generate £2.1 billion in revenue, with earnings (prior to deducting expenses like interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) reaching £392 million.

It’s been a turbulent period for Ladbrokes, with this proposed merger closely following a change at the helm. Jim Mullen is poised to succeed Richard Glynn, assuming the top position at Ladbrokes Coral in April. Glynn’s leadership saw Ladbrokes’ pre-tax profits experience a sharp decline last year, plunging by 44% to a meager £37.7 million.

Industry expert and gaming advisor Steve Donoughue was blunt in his assessment: “Simply observe the condition Ladbrokes was in before Richard Glynn’s arrival, and contrast it with its current state. His actions are nothing short of deplorable. Glynn will likely be remembered as the most inept leader a betting firm has ever witnessed – he has utterly devastated Ladbrokes.”

When the merger was initially unveiled, the companies disclosed that Coral Group would be contributing a significant £865 million of net debt. However, during the unveiling of the deal’s financial framework, Ladbrokes indicated that this debt wouldn’t actually be assumed by the newly enlarged group upon the merger’s completion. Their explanation lacked clarity, leaving ambiguity regarding the specific portion of the net debt in question.

Notwithstanding the circulating controversies, Ladbrokes’ Public Relations Director, Donal McCabe, maintains a positive outlook on the future of Ladbrokes Coral, particularly regarding their online endeavors. “We will possess two remarkably robust brands under a single entity,” he asserted confidently, “which collectively could readily propel us into the upper echelon of the digital market.”

Although Ladbrokes and Coral will maintain operations as distinct entities, the unified organization is poised to become the market’s third-largest contender, resulting in certain cost benefits.” Gala Coral had not issued a statement on the subject at the moment of release.

Richard Glynn, arguably the most unsuccessful bookmaking executive in history, has driven Ladbrokes to ruin. – Steve Donoughue

Those acquainted with the wagering sector understand that the union of Ladbrokes and Coral has been anticipated. In 1998, Ladbrokes endeavored to purchase Coral, but the UK Trade Secretary at the time, Peter Mandelson, obstructed the agreement, asserting it would “damage market rivalry and customer advantages.” Nevertheless, akin to an enduring romance, their parting seemed destined to be brief. The amalgamation of the two firms is possibly a logical progression for the market. “Contrary to the previous attempt, when physical locations were paramount, retail holds less significance now,” notes Donoughue. “The market tendency indicates a surge in mobile engagement, rendering the focus on shops obsolete. From a regulatory standpoint, I anticipate no obstacles for the merger.” In the preceding year, Ladbrokes shuttered 89 establishments and declared intentions in February to close an additional 60.

Merely weeks following Ladbrokes and Coral’s unveiling of their consolidation strategy, Paddy Power and Betfair declared their own – an agreement granting Paddy Power stakeholders 52% ownership of the newly formed entity, with Betfair stakeholders holding the remaining 48%. In September, both organizations disclosed their consent to the merger terms, with a projected finalization date within the initial quarter of 2016. Paddy Power communicated a 21% year-over-year surge in their pre-tax profits for 2014, achieving an unprecedented €167 million, while Betfair documented a 21% revenue escalation, reaching £476.5 million for the period concluding on April 30th.

Betfair’s Chief Executive, Breon Corcoran, is slated to assume the CEO role of Paddy Power Betfair, signifying a return to well-known ground. Between 2001 and 2011, Corcoran held various positions within Paddy Power, including Chief Operating Officer, prior to assuming leadership as Betfair’s CEO in 2012. An anonymous source, in communication with Gambling Insider, revealed that Betfair had been internally evaluating merger and acquisition possibilities since CVC Capital Partners’ unsuccessful takeover bid in 2013 and expressed enthusiasm for the potential of uniting with a company possessing a retail footprint.

The question of which of these two mergers, should both come to fruition, will demonstrate the superior example of the whole surpassing the sum of its parts remains intriguing. Donoughue, an industry expert, has already articulated his allegiance. “My bet is on Betty Power (his moniker for the entity) as the superior outcome due to its cultural feasibility,” he stated. “Breon Corcoran is heading back to his former crew.”

The mechanics behind its success at the product tier is due to Betfair’s position at the high-end segment of the wagering arena. Paddy Power, in contrast, targets a more relaxed demographic, resulting in a complementary rather than competitive dynamic.

What’s propelling these amalgamations? Considering the status of the physical betting sector, it’s hardly unexpected, notes gaming industry advisor Etain Shortt. “Excluding Betfair, every entity operates betting establishments, and the income generated by FOBTs [Fixed Odds Betting Terminals] within these venues has nosedived,” she clarifies. “Consequently, the physical aspect is becoming somewhat cumbersome. Moreover, the UK market, both digitally and physically, is heavily saturated, intensifying marketing competition and costs.”

With four players seemingly condensing into two, what’s the probability of witnessing further integration in this domain? “The prevailing view is that it might transpire once the implications of the point of consumption are understood, so I wouldn’t anticipate significant astonishment if additional consolidation occurred,” states Ladbrokes Coral.

Shortt appends: “Numerous independent bookmakers remain within the UK market. The online sphere is congested, the potential for heightened regulation is evident, and the impact of FOBTs on retail is pronounced. It wouldn’t be astonishing if one or two of the larger entities merged to trigger further consolidation.”

The British wagering landscape is a pressure cooker currently. All eyes are on the unfolding situation, anxious to determine if this consolidation craze is merely the beginning, particularly with authorities like Short forecasting a complete transformation. Initially Ladbrokes joined forces with Coral, followed by Paddy Power and Betfair… who’s next in line?

Author

By Rowan "Rogue" Becker

With a Ph.D. in Stochastic Analysis and a Master's in Finance, this accomplished writer has a deep understanding of the stochastic and financial aspects of gambling and their implications for the risk management and profitability of casino operations. They have expertise in Lévy processes, financial engineering, and risk modeling, which they apply to the analysis of the stochastic and financial dimensions of gambling products and the development of strategies to optimize the risk-return profile of casino portfolios. Their articles and reviews provide readers with a stochastic and financial perspective on the casino industry and the strategies used to manage risk and maximize returns in gambling markets.

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